Housing starts fell 4.1 percent in December

New construction of U.S. houses retreated in December, putting an end to a year in which builders broke ground on a record-low number of single-family homes, the Commerce Department estimated Thursday.

Housing starts fell 4.1 percent to an annualized rate of 679,000 last month, after a strong gain in November had put starts at their highest level since April 2010.

Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were expecting a stronger report, with housing starts forecast to rise to a 695,000 rate.

Analysts were not too upset by the December drop. They noted that the decline was due to a sharp drop in the multi-family sector.

“A real recovery is getting started,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, in a note to clients. He noted that starts are up at a 29.7 percent annual rate in the fourth quarter.

Economists believe housing market trends are picking up. One reason for near-term optimism was a strong gain in builder sentiment in January reported earlier this week.

Starts of single-family houses rose 4.4 percent to a 470,000 rate in December, while starts of the more volatile multifamily sector dropped 20.4 percent to 187,000.

On Tuesday, the National Association of Home Builders’ sentiment index rose to 25 in January from 21 in the previous month. That’s the highest level since June 2007.

Building permits, a sign of future construction, fell 0.1 percent in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 679,000.

Building permits for single-family houses rose 1.8 percent last month. Many economists consider single-family permits to be the most important number in the government’s release.

The overall house construction market did improve a bit in 2011.

Housing starts rose 3.4 percent from 2010.

But starts of single-family houses fell 9 percent to a record-low 428,600 units. Multifamily starts jumped 55 percent in 2011.

Some economists think 2012 could be the year that housing turns the corner. Mortgage rates are low, houses are more affordable and inventories are down a bit, they note.

Economists at Capital Economics estimate that, with about 4 million houses in the foreclosure pipeline, it will be a few more years before starts return to a more normal pace of 1 million per year.

At the peak of the pre-recession housing boom, starts rose as high as 2.07 million in 2005. Until 2009, new construction had averaged more than 1 million units annually since the government first began record keeping in 1959.

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Stock futures rise modestly ahead of economic data

Wall Street futures are rising modestly on hopes the International Monetary Fund will get a cash infusion and ahead of a host of U.S. economic reports.

Dow futures are up 20 points at 12,440. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 futures are up 3 points to 1,293. The Nasdaq composite is up 9 points at 2,398.

Christine Lagarde, the International Monetary Fund’s managing director, said Tuesday that the Washington D.C.-based institution was looking at ways to increase its financial firepower, partly to deal with Europe’s debt crisis.

Investors will be looking at U.S. reports on industrial production, wholesale prices and foreign holdings of U.S. debt. Also Wednesday, Greece is continuing talks with private creditors aimed at reducing the country’s crushing debt.

Most Asian and European markets also rose Wednesday.

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St. Louis-based CPI Corp. sued for allegedly misleading investors

A pension fund has sued St. Louis-based CPI Corp., alleging that the portrait studio operator broke federal securities laws by misleading investors about the company’s financial health.

The suit, filed by IBEW Local 98 Pension Fund, is seeking class action status for shareholders who purchased the company’s common stock between April 20, 2010 and December 21, 2011. The suit was filed in federal district court in eastern Missouri on Friday.

A spokeswoman for CPI this afternoon that the company declined to comment.

CPI operates portrait studios inside of Sears and Walmart stores. It has struggled recently as many of its core customers have been adversely affected by the economy.

In December, CPI’s shares plummeted 62.5 percent after the company announced a net loss of $7.3 million, or $1.03 a share, and an 11 percent drop in net sales in the third quarter. The company blamed the poor performance in part on ineffective marketing efforts.

Then last week, the company said that its same-store sales in the first eight weeks of the fourth quarter ending February 4 had declined 18 percent to $82 million, down from $101 million in the comparable period a year ago.

CPI is also fighting to stay on the New York Stock Exchange. It received a notice in October that it was out of compliance with listing standards.

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Unions: Nigeria strike over fuel resumes Monday

Two major labor unions in Nigeria say a paralyzing nationwide strike will resume Monday after negotiations with the government failed.

The Nigeria Labor Congress and the Trade Union Congress issued a joint statement Sunday confirming strikes would continue.

The strikes began Jan. 9 over spiraling gasoline prices following the removal of an estimated $8 billion in fuel subsidies in Africa’s most populous nation. The unions said they want the government to return prices to the subsidized price, though the government has only said it will reduce current prices.

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Fed

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said the U.S. economy will expand at a

Vietnam Signals Cuts in Interest Rates as Asia

Vietnam signaled that it may cut policy interest rates to

Troubled Kodak creates new business structure

Struggling Kodak is seeking to simplify its structure and cut costs by reducing the number of its business segments from three to two. Shares shot up 34 percent in premarket trading.

Eastman Kodak Co., once a photography pioneer, was pummeled by consumers’ switch to digital. Its fortunes deteriorated further last year, and it said in November that it could run out of cash in a year if it couldn’t sell a trove of digital-imaging patents.

Kodak said Tuesday that it now has a commercial and a consumer segment. Both units will report to the new chief operating office, which will be led by COO and President Philip Faraci and by Laura Quatela, who was also recently named as president and COO.

Previously, Kodak’s business segments were divided into its traditional film and photo paper products, consumer digital imaging and graphic communications, which included printing equipment. No business segments are being cut, just reorganized.

Kodak spokesman Christopher Veronda said the company is not announcing job cuts as part of this reorganization paydayloans.

“However, we will continue to look for opportunities to streamline operations and properly position the company’s portfolio,” he said.

Kodak has been reported to be preparing for a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing if it can’t sell the digital-imaging patents, which could fetch as much as $3 billion according to analysts. No buyers have emerged since the company started shopping the patents around in July.

In November, it reported its ninth quarterly loss in three years and said its cash reserves had fallen 10 percent in three months.

The company’s stock rose 14 cents to 54 cents before the market opened on Tuesday. The New York Stock Exchange warned Kodak earlier this month that it would drop the stock if its price remained below $1 per share for the next six months.

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Groups lock horns over Missouri’s green energy future

There’s a battle afoot to reshape Missouri’s green energy law.

Renewable energy advocates and utilities are squaring off to establish how much of Missouri’s electricity is derived from renewable resources — with the cost to consumers in the balance.

Renew Missouri, the group formed several years ago to advance the state’s existing renewable energy initiative, known as Proposition C, plans to go back to voters this fall and ask them to mandate more wind and solar power. The utility industry lobby, meanwhile, plans to propose its own legislation to clarify the existing law, and says it may offer up a competing ballot initiative.

“We would like to see a clear and precise implementation of Proposition C before any ballot initiative that goes above and beyond and has a significant cost impact,” said Trey Davis, executive director of the Jefferson City-based Missouri Energy Development Association.

Ultimately, voters or legislators would to forced to choose among competing visions for the state’s energy future — a philosophical tug of war that goes well beyond a referendum on clean energy.

The renewable energy industry wants to speed Missouri’s transition from coal-based electricity to cleaner wind and solar, arguing it will not only improve air and water quality, but also stimulate thousands of new homegrown jobs. Utilities, meanwhile, say they realize the benefit of renewable energy development but don’t want a mandate to force their hand and further drive up customer bills.

The debate goes back to 2008, when Missourians voted by a 2-1 margin to require investor-owned utilities like Ameren to derive 2 percent of their electric generation from renewable resources in 2011 — a percentage that would steadily increase to 15 percent in 2021. It further stipulated that electric bills couldn’t increase more than 1 percent over what they would be otherwise.

The measure seemed simple. It drew no organized opposition.

But implementing the law hasn’t been so easy.

Utilities, the renewable energy industry and consumer groups bickered for months over rules developed by the Public Service Commission. Then, in a victory for utilities, a little-known legislative committee known as the Joint Committee on Administrative Rules struck down parts of the PSC rules. The issue ultimately landed in court, which also sided with the utilities in a recent ruling.

Disappointed with how the 2008 ballot measure turned out, the state’s renewable energy industry resolved to fix what it considered broken. The group is setting out to put in place a more aggressive green power mandate — one that would put Missouri on par with Illinois.

The initiative still needs Secretary of State approval before Renew Missouri can collect signatures to put it on the ballot this fall. The mandate they plan to take to voters would require utilities to get 5 percent of their electric generation from renewable resources by 2014. The amount would steadily increase to 25 percent by the end of 2025.

The proposal would also adjust how the maximum allowed rate impact is calculated, replacing a 1 percent cap with fixed dollar amounts that vary according to customer class.

For residential customers, the increase will vary according to usage, with the average bill climbing as much as $3. Commercial customers would pay an average of up to $11 more per month and the largest energy users, such as factories, could pay up to $150 a month extra.

“The goal is for this to be clear,” said P. J. Wilson, executive director of Renew Missouri cheap credit report.

To help offset the effect of higher rates, the proposal also includes additional funding for the Missouri Office of Public Counsel - the state office that serves as the main line of defense in utility rate cases and other matters before the PSC. The office has seen its budget reduced substantially in past years while utility rates have climbed.

While the utility industry stayed silent the last time Renew Missouri took a ballot initiative to voters, it won’t this time.

The utility industry doesn’t want the green power mandate strengthened, arguing it will further increase electric rates. And the group says the proposal unfairly gives the biggest energy users a break at the expense of residential customers and small businesses.

“Those are the folks that are also feeling hit on their pocketbooks the most,” Davis said.

What’s more, MEDA argues that funding for the Public Counsel — its adversary in rate cases — shouldn’t be tied to the renewable energy law.

The group last week announced plans to file legislation making changes to the existing renewable energy law, though it hadn’t yet announced a sponsor or filed the bill as of Friday.

Davis said the bill would be an attempt to clear up the existing law, further helping utilities recover their costs, clarifying the existing 1 percent rate cap and establishing how utilities comply with the mandate. The group also wants regulatory incentives for the use of agricultural products, such as biomass, for electricity generation.

“We’re looking to make strong investments in renewable energy for our customers, but we’re doing it in a cost-effective way that does not increase their rates more than 1 percent,” he said.

Davis said MEDA is considering a ballot initiative to compete with Renew Missouri’s proposal, but wasn’t specific about what would prompt the group to do so. He would say only that utilities would “take that path if necessary.”

Renew Missouri, meanwhile, said it isn’t concerned about the possibility of dueling ballot initiatives. And Wilson questions the utility’s concern about the potential for higher electric rates.

In fact, the group developed the ballot measure only after reaching out to various consumer groups for their input.

“I don’t know who’s more qualified to talk about impact on ratepayers,” he said, “the utilities, or the ratepayers themselves?”

Consumer groups aren’t endorsing the ballot measure. But representatives acknowledge being consulted on how the revamped renewable energy proposal would affect electric rates.

“We were glad to be at the table,” said Diana Vuylsteke, a lawyer representing the Missouri Industrial Energy Consumers, a group of the state’s largest power users.

John Coffman, a lawyer representing Missouri Consumers Council, went a step further, saying the renewable energy proposal is an improvement for consumers compared with the existing law.

Beside increasing funding for the Office Public Counsel — an office Coffman used to run — it would require utilities to recoup costs for complying with the law as part of larger rate cases, not in a separate proceeding. That would ensure a more thorough review that would best serve utility customers, Coffman said.

“That initiative would be immensely better from a consumer perspective than the current law,” he said.

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Irish-Backed Bank Bonds Tempt Buyers Again - Bloomberg

Ireland, whose financial system came closer to collapse than that of any euro nation, may now entice investors back to its bank bonds.

Bank of Ireland Plc (BKIR)

Private hiring soars; seasonal issues cloud gain

The U.S. jobs recovery gathered pace as a measure of private-sector hiring surged in December and claims for unemployment benefits fell, suggesting the battered labor market may continue to strengthen in 2012.

The ADP National Employment Report’s December job tally of 325,000 surprised economists who had expected a gain of roughly half that size. It was also above the 204,000 private jobs added in November.

Many economists struck a note of caution, though, saying the number may have been distorted by seasonal factors

Joel Prakken, of Macroeconomic Advisers, which helps produce the survey, told reporters job readings tend to be inflated at year-end as employers keep workers on payrolls for accounting reasons, and the reading could be revised lower.

“Certainly we’re getting some more encouraging news on the jobs market, but we have to be very aware that it does reflect a very volatile period of the year — the holiday season and the days following the new year,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at Economic Outlook Group in Princeton, New Jersey.

Markets did indeed appear to take the data with a grain of salt. U.S. stock indexes were lower while safe-haven U.S. government bond prices edged up, keeping the benchmark 10-year yield below 2 percent.

In December 2010, a surge in private sector hiring far exceeded the total monthly job gain reported by the government.

The more comprehensive government payrolls monthly report, due Friday, is expected to show the economy added 150,000 public and private sector jobs in December, according to a Reuters survey conducted earlier this week.

FIRST-TIME JOBLESS CLAIMS DIP

Even so, data on Thursday confirmed some encouraging trends.

The Labor Department reported the number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits fell by 15,000 last week, the fourth decline in the last five weeks.

The four-week moving average, considered a better measure of trends, fell to its lowest level since June 2008.

“The message from the four-week averages is that the labor market is maintaining its recent improvement,” said Gennadiy Goldberg, interest rate strategist at 4-Cast, Inc in New York.

There were also signs of improvement in hiring within the vast U.S. services sector.

The employment component of the Institute for Supply Management’s services index rose to 49.4 from 48.9 in November, though “that wasn’t as strong as the ADP report online payday advance….so there are a few mixed messages on employment,” said Julia Coronado, chief economist for North America at BNP Paribas in New York.

A private industry survey showed the number of planned layoffs at U.S. firms fell to a five-month low in November.

But John Challenger, chief executive officer of consultants Challenger, Gray & Christmas, said the two sectors that suffered the most job cuts in 2011 — government and financial services — look destined to struggle again this year.

RISKS REMAIN FOR ECONOMY IN 2012

The unemployment rate is expected to have edged up to 8.7 percent last month, from 8.6 percent in November, as some Americans who had given up their search for work were lured back into the market, according to a Reuters survey.

While recent data suggests the U.S. economy expanded more swiftly in the final three months of 2011 after growing at a 1.8 percent pace between July and September, few economists expect that pace to persist through 2012. Most have penciled in a gradual growth rate of around 2 percent for the year.

That may prove too optimistic if Europe falls into a deep recession as countries there slash spending to battle a debt crisis or if Chinese growth continues to slow.

Baumohl said a significant downturn in Europe could threaten U.S. exports and U.S. banks while shaving up to one percentage point off 2012 growth.

“The market believes the numbers do not yet reflect the impact of much lower growth in Europe and the slowdown in Asia,” said Cary Leahey, senior economist at Decision Economics. “The problem is the market doesn’t really believe the positive trend will last.”

The Federal Reserve, which will hold its first policy meeting of 2012 later this month, has pledged to hold interest rates at zero until at least mid-2013.

And a survey of Wall Street firms that deal with the Fed showed primary dealers saw a 45 percent chance the central bank will wait until mid-2014 before it raises rates.

Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics, said persistent improvement in the labor market may complicate things.

“The big danger now is that the rate of improvement in labor market conditions will be much faster than the Fed expects, forcing (it) to re-evaluate medium-term inflation risks this year rather than in 2013,” he wrote in a note to clients.

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